Scenario Modeling
What-if analysis for NNN investments. Model different economic conditions and stress-test your thesis across bull, base, and bear cases.
Investment Scenarios
Bull Case
Favorable market conditions with strong tenant demand
Base Case
Realistic economic conditions and market averages
Bear Case
Economic stress with higher capitalization rates
How Scenario Modeling Works
Define Assumptions
Set market conditions, interest rates, vacancy, rent growth, and exit cap rates for your scenario
Build Cash Flows
Model annual cash flows incorporating variable assumptions, debt service, and tenant rollover impacts
Calculate Returns
Compute IRR, equity multiple, cash-on-cash returns, and DSCR across your scenario timeframe
Key Variables
Interest Rates
Range: 3.5% - 7.5%
Direct impact on financing costs and cap rate spreads
Vacancy Rates
Range: 2% - 8%
Affects effective gross income and property value
Rent Growth
Range: 0% - 4%
Drives income growth and exit value appreciation
Cap Rate Movement
Range: -150bps to +150bps
Compression/expansion affects exit valuations
NOI Margins
Range: 35% - 50%
Controls cash flow and debt service coverage
Tenant Credit
Range: A-rated to BBB
Influences default risk and property stability
Build Your First Scenario
Access the full scenario modeling tool and stress-test your investment thesis across thousands of market conditions.